Long-Bailey is attracting support from many left-wing and Corbyn-loyalist members of the party and will be seen as someone outside of the London bubble who can connect with working-class, Leave-voting people who deserted Labour at the election. Being female and having the backing of best friend Angela Rayner, herself extremely popular, will help her cause. The most left-wing candidate in the race is seen by many to lack the necessary experience to lead the party at this trying time while many want to veer away from the hard leftism of Corbyn.
This alignment with the old guard means she is not the frontrunner many hope for and must perform in the leadership debates to see her get closer to Starmer in the betting markets. However, she still finds herself a fair way back from runaway leader Starmer and second favourite hard-left choice Long-Bailey, who is only slightly ahead in the betting.
Soft left in her politics, Nandy is attracting support from many Labour supporters in the north who she feels the party has neglected Starmer would be the second North London MP after Corbyn to be party leader if elected. Nandy has made the first significant move of the contest and those close to her knew she was an impressive performer, but she wowed her peers in the Commons leading to her odds being slashed in half.
What was previously a two-horse race between Starmer and Long-Bailey is now looking firmly like it has a third runner in the mix. Phillips was one of the most talked about names in the small hours following the election result, but the odds now paint a very different story and it's clear in the following weeks she has slipped down the list considerably amid suspicion from the left wing of the party who comprise a large part of the voters.
While it's far too early to rule her out entirely, she'd have to pull something pretty special out of the bag in debates against the likes of frontrunner Starmer or Corbyn-loyalist Long-Bailey in order to resume her position at the top of the list. Norwich South MP Clive Lewis has already begun to drift horribly and we'd suggest lumping on him being the first candidate to drop out of the race.
Lewis is from the left of the party and was in Corbyn's shadow cabinet but has also criticised him, which won't curry favour with the diehard fans of the outgoing leader. But he also distanced himself from the Blair and Brown years, leading punters to wonder where the Norfolk MP is going to draw his support from. Expect him to continue to drift to the point where he may not last the whole race. Thornberry is seen as too gaffe prone.
Remember her tweet of a St George's flag-draped house in Rochester that saw her accused of snobbery and being sacked from the shadow cabinet in by the then-leader Ed Miliband? Not to mention in September this year when she was forced to apologise after comparing the Liberal Democrats to the Taliban — bear in mind she is the shadow foreign secretary.
Thornberry is also too close to the Corbyn regime that saw their worst result in decades and also a part of the London bubble and another candidate with a seat bordering Corbyn's. All this has caused her to drift considerably in the betting.
All odds from the political betting tracker at bonuscodebets. There goes the general election. And there goes Jeremy Corbyn. Andy Burnham -. Diane Abbott -. Stella Creasy -. Ed Balls -. Lucy Powell -. Harriet Harman -. Jess Phillips -. Alan Johnson -. Jonathan Ashworth -. Ed Miliband -. Maria Eagle -. Simon Danczuk -. Rachel Reeves -. Gisela Stuart -.
Cat Smith -. Jonathan Reynolds -. Mary Creagh -. Nia Griffith -. Caroline Flint -. Neil Coyle -. Tristram Hunt -. Margaret Hodge -. David Lammy -. Karl Turner -. Gloria de Piero -. John Healey -. Vernon Coaker -. Lousie Haigh -. Liz Kendall -. Wes Streeting -. Kate Osamor -. Chris Leslie -. Catherine McKinnell -.
Kate Hoey -. Debbie Abrahams -. Jon Trickett -. Emma Reynolds -. John Woodcock -. Dawn Butler -. Kerry McCarthy -. Alan Campbell -. Chris Bryant -. Angela Smith -. Meg Hillier -. Luciana Berger -. Rachael Maskell -. Seema Malhotra -. Shabana Mahmood -. Jim McMahon -. Kate Green -. Rushanara Ali -. Rosie Winterton -.
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