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Contact Me - fw freddywills. Freddy breaks down his week in college football, and goes over some of the key SEC games and what it means for betting value moving forward. Over my 10 year career clients have earned Breaking down every single college football game for Thanksgiving week. I tackle all of the games leading up to Saturday. I'll do another podcast for Saturday's plays. Make sure you check out my promotions at Freddywills. Virginia - Winner gets ClemsonCinci vs. Memphis - repeat in the AAC Championship?

Freddy goes over last week's misleading finals along with some other key games for this weeks action with some key look ahead spots, hangovers, and fade the public. IndianaAuburn vs. Georgia and more. Also touching on several key look ahead spots in this weeks action that you can take advantage of.

This is something you can not get away from as a bettor. It is just something that happens. Luckily I do feel like things are turning around, and they usually do this time of year. Visit freddywills. Subscribe to my weekly premium newsletter. Follow me on twitter this week, freddywills. Had a Georgia fan win on Tennessee 2 weeks ago. Looking forward to what followers come up with this time. Best Pick, worst pick, bad beat of the week, and bet that I regret not making.

Plus we will talk about all of the misleading finals of week 8, there were plenty! Visit Freddywills. CinciMIami vs. Virginia TechWest Virginia vs. TexasBall State vs. In theory, Indiana has a lock on second place in the East, would simply take the place of the Buckeyes, and would face Northwestern.

By the way, the Wildcats have now clinched the West due to the cancelation of their scheduled game this week with Minnesota thanks, Chaos! Honestly, this is a delightful amount of chaos in my life, but it would be even more fun if Indiana quarterback Michael Penix, Jr.

That flat out stinks for the kid, Indiana, and frankly the Big Ten. He is fun to watch and easy to root for. Based on my reading of the Big Ten tiebreaker rules, I think that the conference would actually cancel the Championship Game. Michigan State? But, imagining a possible Northwestern rematch with a 0. As usual, Figures 1 and 2 below provide a visual summary of the originally scheduled action for Week The weekly upset picks from the very logical computers that hate chaos are shown below in Table 1.

The computers both project four upsets this week, with two of those picks overlapping to result in a total of six upset picks in Week My spreadsheet likes only three bets this week while my analysis of the FPI data results in four additional picks for a total of seven. Sadly, the FPI likes the Buckeyes to cover this weekend against the Spartans, if that game actually goes forward.

A summary of almost all of my picks for Week 14 can be found here. As of the time of this posting, there is some momentum that the MSU-Ohio State game will actually take place this week, which is in pretty stark contrast to the way the wind was blowing over the weekend. If the game does get played, the numbers do not look great for the Spartans. This is also the biggest line in the series since The next largest line in the recent series was the As a result, my official score prediction is a win for Ohio State.

The FPI is even more confident and has the Buckeyes favored by 30 points, which places this game on my recommended bet table above. That said, with Coach Ryan Day not able to attend the game, an unknown number of players unavailable, and with limited practice time, might there be an opening for a little more Big Ten chaos?

Why not? Elsewhere in the Big Ten, it seems like there is more intrigue surrounding which games might get canceled as opposed to the actual games. If the Wolverines do play, the computers both like them to cover, just barely. If Indiana can still win without Michael Penix, Jr. Penn State looks to string two wins in a row this week at Rutgers.

The computers both project the Nittany Lions to win but not to cover. The computers like the favorites to both win and cover. Clemson is a point favorite at Virginia Tech this week, while Notre Dame is an even bigger point favorite over Syracuse in South Bend. If Clemson wins, the race is officially over. As predicted, the Championship Game situation in the Big 12 is much clearer this week. The Cyclones can wrap up the No.

This week, however, the Ducks face Cal, while the Huskies are hosting Stanford. Right now, Colorado and USC are at the top of the standings. Colorado -2 is scheduled to play at Arizona while USC

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The FPI is even more confident and has the Buckeyes favored by 30 points, which places this game on my recommended bet table above. That said, with Coach Ryan Day not able to attend the game, an unknown number of players unavailable, and with limited practice time, might there be an opening for a little more Big Ten chaos?

Why not? Elsewhere in the Big Ten, it seems like there is more intrigue surrounding which games might get canceled as opposed to the actual games. If the Wolverines do play, the computers both like them to cover, just barely. If Indiana can still win without Michael Penix, Jr. Penn State looks to string two wins in a row this week at Rutgers. The computers both project the Nittany Lions to win but not to cover.

The computers like the favorites to both win and cover. Clemson is a point favorite at Virginia Tech this week, while Notre Dame is an even bigger point favorite over Syracuse in South Bend. If Clemson wins, the race is officially over. As predicted, the Championship Game situation in the Big 12 is much clearer this week. The Cyclones can wrap up the No. This week, however, the Ducks face Cal, while the Huskies are hosting Stanford.

Right now, Colorado and USC are at the top of the standings. Colorado -2 is scheduled to play at Arizona while USC We will see if either game actually happens. That is likely to happen this week as Alabama travels to Arkansas and Florida travels to Tennessee. In notable Group of Five action, Cincinnati is just most likely two wins in consecutive weekends over Tulsa away from locking up the New Years Six Bowl bid.

Due to various schedule chaos, however, the Bearcats are off this week. If Cincinnati were to drop one of those games, Coastal Carolina is the next most likely beneficiary. That is all for this week. Whether MSU winds up playing this weekend or not, I will be here on Monday to check in on the results. Until next time, enjoy, and Go State; Beat the Buckeyes maybe Cookie banner We use cookies and other tracking technologies to improve your browsing experience on our site, show personalized content and targeted ads, analyze site traffic, and understand where our audiences come from.

By choosing I Accept , you consent to our use of cookies and other tracking technologies. Stories Schedule Roster Stats. By Paul Fanson Dr. Reddit Pocket Flipboard Email. Oh, chaos, how I love you so. Picks of the Week As usual, Figures 1 and 2 below provide a visual summary of the originally scheduled action for Week As for the recommended bets for the week, those are summarized below in Table 2: Table 2: Recommended bets for Week 14 from both computer systems My spreadsheet likes only three bets this week while my analysis of the FPI data results in four additional picks for a total of seven.

MSU and Big Ten Overview As of the time of this posting, there is some momentum that the MSU-Ohio State game will actually take place this week, which is in pretty stark contrast to the way the wind was blowing over the weekend. Loading comments Share this story Twitter Facebook. Don't miss it! We've made it to Super Bowl We are going to break down many betting angles but let's begin today with the opening odds. The final four teams are left. It's NFL Playoffs. Time for the Championship Round so we are talking spreads, totals, and props by breaking down the key aspects of each game.

Here is our top football teaser. Part II of the Divisional Round games so we are talking spreads and totals by breaking down the key aspects of each game. Time for the Divisional Round so we are talking spreads, totals, and props by breaking down the key aspects of each game. Latest Earliest Most played Most popular Search.

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Every single outcome has been an outlier, essentially, and MSU is the only team in the country with this distinction. The math of the normal distribution would suggest that the odds of this happening are about 1 in So far almost exactly one-third of the games that I have tracked 97 of have fallen into this category, which almost exactly where it should be That bring us to this week. Based on the current schedule, the Spartans are supposed to host Ohio State this week, but with the current COVID outbreak in Columbus puts that game into question as well.

If the Buckeyes are forced to cancel, even more chaos will occur in the Big Ten East, as the scarlet and gray would no longer be eligible for the Big Ten Championship Game. In theory, Indiana has a lock on second place in the East, would simply take the place of the Buckeyes, and would face Northwestern.

By the way, the Wildcats have now clinched the West due to the cancelation of their scheduled game this week with Minnesota thanks, Chaos! Honestly, this is a delightful amount of chaos in my life, but it would be even more fun if Indiana quarterback Michael Penix, Jr.

That flat out stinks for the kid, Indiana, and frankly the Big Ten. He is fun to watch and easy to root for. Based on my reading of the Big Ten tiebreaker rules, I think that the conference would actually cancel the Championship Game. Michigan State? But, imagining a possible Northwestern rematch with a 0. As usual, Figures 1 and 2 below provide a visual summary of the originally scheduled action for Week The weekly upset picks from the very logical computers that hate chaos are shown below in Table 1.

The computers both project four upsets this week, with two of those picks overlapping to result in a total of six upset picks in Week My spreadsheet likes only three bets this week while my analysis of the FPI data results in four additional picks for a total of seven. Sadly, the FPI likes the Buckeyes to cover this weekend against the Spartans, if that game actually goes forward.

A summary of almost all of my picks for Week 14 can be found here. As of the time of this posting, there is some momentum that the MSU-Ohio State game will actually take place this week, which is in pretty stark contrast to the way the wind was blowing over the weekend. If the game does get played, the numbers do not look great for the Spartans. This is also the biggest line in the series since The next largest line in the recent series was the As a result, my official score prediction is a win for Ohio State.

The FPI is even more confident and has the Buckeyes favored by 30 points, which places this game on my recommended bet table above. That said, with Coach Ryan Day not able to attend the game, an unknown number of players unavailable, and with limited practice time, might there be an opening for a little more Big Ten chaos? Why not? Elsewhere in the Big Ten, it seems like there is more intrigue surrounding which games might get canceled as opposed to the actual games.

If the Wolverines do play, the computers both like them to cover, just barely. If Indiana can still win without Michael Penix, Jr. Penn State looks to string two wins in a row this week at Rutgers. The computers both project the Nittany Lions to win but not to cover. The computers like the favorites to both win and cover. Clemson is a point favorite at Virginia Tech this week, while Notre Dame is an even bigger point favorite over Syracuse in South Bend.

Be sure to sign-up to the newsletter below for the latest updates and picks. In today's show we are covering 2 standout games in the NBA, the latest odds on the Antonio Brown trade, and odds on Bob Kraft case outcomes. Click here to refresh the feed. Here is the Safe Bet's definitive podcast on Super Bowl Enjoy the game and hit that subscribe button. We are here all year long.

Don't miss it! We've made it to Super Bowl We are going to break down many betting angles but let's begin today with the opening odds. The final four teams are left.

Well, I guess we will find out, but I see value in the over here.

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Bettingadvice pods Best Bettingadvice pods, worst pick, bad beat of the week, and bet that I bettingadvice pods not making. Northern IllinoisMarshall vs. Visit Freddywills. We use cookies and other tracking technologies to improve your browsing experience on our site, show personalized content and targeted ads, analyze site traffic, and understand where our audiences come from. If the Buckeyes are forced to cancel, even more chaos will occur in the Big Ten East, as the scarlet and gray would no longer be eligible for the Big Ten Championship Game. Part II of the Divisional Round games so we are talking spreads and totals by breaking down the key aspects of each game. Virginia TechWest Virginia vs.
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